Consensus can be more robust than the data it rests on. That’s true in Darwinism, and appears to be true in climate science, according to some published doubts.A guru can lie down on a bed of nails, provided all the nails are even and solid. If the guru lies down on a bed of spaghetti, something else must be holding him up, and it’s not the nails. Let the nails represent data points of solid empirical science. How solid are the data points under climate science?In an episode of Tucker Carlson Tonight on Fox News August 8, filmmaker Josh Fox, a fast-talking environmental activist, wouldn’t allow Carlson to get a word in edgewise, which is quite a feat, knowing Carlson’s ability to hold his own in a debate. The guest hammered Carlson with the question, “Do you understand what the science is telling us about climate change?” Over and over he pounded away on that question, but the question presupposes that the science is solid and incontrovertible. Let’s examine some things that appeared recently in the pro-warmist science journals and news media. Readers can decide if these uncertainties are trivial or indicate a systemic, underlying problem with the consensus.‘Dodgy’ greenhouse gas data threatens Paris accord (BBC News). “Potent, climate-warming gases are being emitted into the atmosphere but are not being recorded in official inventories, a BBC investigation has found.” That’s a startling admission from a news source heavily in favor of the warmist consensus. “Levels of some emissions from India and China are so uncertain that experts say their records are plus or minus 100%,” writes Matt McGrath, environment correspondent for the BBC. To show how serious this is, look what he reports next: “These flaws posed a bigger threat to the Paris climate agreement than US President Donald Trump’s intention to withdraw, researchers told BBC Radio 4’s Counting Carbon programme.”These flaws posed a bigger threat to the Paris climate agreement than US President Donald Trump’s intention to withdraw.Sea level is a surprisingly variable parameter (Phys.org). Sea level is zero, right? This article shows how complicated it is, even since the 1990s, to come up with a “reference model” for sea level. Remember this when the media give dire warnings about cities sinking under the ocean due to climate change:The protracted debate about a common zero level has been eclipsed by the analysis of historical changes. Satellite data from the last 20 years show that sea levels vary greatly from region to region. Consequently, the focus is once again placed on regional levels. The first reliable data do not define a long-term average but rather a new zero point for research.Decomposing leaves are a surprising source of greenhouse gases (Phys.org). Nitrous oxide (N2O) is more potent a greenhouse gas than the carbon dioxide (CO2) that everyone worries about. A new “culprit” for emissions of nitrous oxide has been found, and it’s not man or coal plants. It’s “Tiny bits of decomposing leaves in soil.” How potent is nitrous oxide? “Nitrous oxide’s global warming potential is 300 times greater than carbon dioxide, and emissions are largely driven by agricultural practices,” the article says. While the article only addresses farming practices, it would seem that natural leaf litter in forests cannot be ignored. Even so, measures of N2O emissions are “traditionally are about 50 percent accurate, at best,” the article notes.Overlooked water loss in plants could throw off climate models (Nature News). The caption under a lovely photo of red tulips swaying in the breeze says, “In dry conditions, leaves might lose more water through their outer surfaces than scientists suspected.” As a consequence,Errors in how scientists account for water loss from leaves may be skewing estimates of how much energy plants make through photosynthesis, according to the latest research. This in turn could jeopardize models of how individual leaves function and even of the global climate. The errors are particularly pronounced when a plant’s water supply is limited — a condition of increasing interest as plant breeders and climate scientists grapple with the effects of global warming.Methane-eating microbes may reduce release of gases as Antarctic ice sheets melt (Phys.org). Worries about retreating ice sheets releasing methane may be mitigated by lowly bacteria that eat the gas, this article says. Nobody really looked at these remote locations before. “These tiny microorganisms may have a big impact on a warming world by preventing methane from seeping into the atmosphere when ice sheets melt, said Brent Christner, a University of Florida microbiologist and co-author on the study.” Like N2O, methane is a much more potent greenhouse gas than CO2, in particular 30 times as potent.Improved representation of solar variability in climate models (Phys.org). The sun’s contribution to warming needs to be weighed against man’s contribution. This article talks about improved data sets about how the solar cycle forces climate change, which is important, since it counteracts anthropogenic forcing. Solar forcing is found to have a bigger influence than thought. The scientists believe it “will not have a significant influence on the development of global average surface temperatures.” Nevertheless, “regional effects should not be negligible.”Casting light on the dark ages—Anglo-Saxon fenland is re-imagined (Phys.org). This article investigates a time long before coal plants, smokestacks and SUVs: the so-called “dark ages” from about 400 to 1000 AD, better called the ‘early Medieval’ period. Guess what; they survived global warming. “Fen dwellers made incremental adjustments to the ways in which they collectively exploited and safeguarded the fenland’s natural resources, adapting to water levels that slowly rose as a result of climate change.”Campaigning on climate science consensus may backfire, warn scholars (Phys.org). Aware that a large segment of the public still does not accept the consensus on climate change, six authors advocated a less-pushy approach. They took particular issue with the popular rhetoric that “97% of scientists agree that human-caused climate change is happening.” For one thing, there is still intense debate about how to quantify a consensus. Secondly, the 97% slogan is not accepted by all climate scientists; the numbers “have been published by a relatively small group of affiliated researchers and challenged by other social scientists,” the advisors say. Thirdly, the public can accept scientific findings without the “consensus” argument. Fourthly, the narrow 97% value obscures wider issues with conflicting policy options. Finally, the advisors think that the 97% slogan strategy is self-defeating, sounding like overreach. Even if the value is defensible, it cannot apply to all areas of climate science. “This approach also makes the implausible assumption that publics will follow the correct policy path once given the relevant scientific information, and that acceptance of scientific consensus is needed to support specific solutions.”Non-scientists tend to be intimidated by consensus. Tucker Carlson on that TV interview had to concede that he was a reporter, not a scientist. Given these uncertainties we’ve listed above, he should have asked the guest, “Do the scientists know what the science is telling us about climate change?” – and he should not have accepted the “all scientists agree” excuse. Then he could read our report and shout, “It’s fake science!”(Visited 520 times, 1 visits today)FacebookTwitterPinterestSave分享0
Sports Related Videospowered by AdSparcRead Next TS Kammuri to enter PAR possibly a day after SEA Games opening LOOK: Joyce Pring goes public with engagement to Juancho Triviño Rookie aspirants got a chance to showcase their talents in front of coaches during the two-day rookie combine at Gatorade Gym.The 2018 PBA Rookie Draft is on Sunday at Robinsons Ermita.ADVERTISEMENT MOST READ Hotel management clarifies SEAG footballers’ kikiam breakfast issue SEA Games: Biñan football stadium stands out in preparedness, completion Photo by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netPhoto by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.net SEA Games: Biñan football stadium stands out in preparedness, completion Lacson: 2019 budget delay due to P75-B House ‘insertion’ FEATURED STORIESSPORTSPrivate companies step in to help SEA Games hostingSPORTSSEA Games: Biñan football stadium stands out in preparedness, completionSPORTSUrgent reply from Philippine football chief Is Luis Manzano planning to propose to Jessy Mendiola? Geje Eustaquio considering career in mountain biking after mixed martial arts LATEST STORIES Ejercito casts ballot in San Juan PLAY LIST 00:55Ejercito casts ballot in San Juan03:4520% of NBP inmates die every year01:53Bilibid hospital chief: No hard evidence of ‘overstaying’ for sale02:42PH underwater hockey team aims to make waves in SEA Games01:44Philippines marks anniversary of massacre with calls for justice01:19Fire erupts in Barangay Tatalon in Quezon City01:07Trump talks impeachment while meeting NCAA athletes02:49World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games02:11Trump awards medals to Jon Voight, Alison Krauss Private companies step in to help SEA Games hosting Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. View comments
Oil plant explodes in Pampanga town “Ultimately, Anthony made it clear to us that he wants to play and he gives our team the best opportunity to win games. Moreover, the Pelicans want to preserve the integrity of the game and align our organization with NBA policies,” Pelicans general manager Dell Demps said in a statement. “We believe Anthony playing upholds the values that are in the best interest of the NBA and its fans. We look forward to seeing Anthony in a Pelicans uniform again soon.”The Pelicans initially appeared inclined to move on without Davis and focus on the players who might help them going forward. Davis’ image has been removed from promotional materials, the club’s official website and even a team hype video that plays before home games on the Smoothie King Center’s expansive scoreboard screens hanging above the court.FEATURED STORIESSPORTSPrivate companies step in to help SEA Games hostingSPORTSUrgent reply from Philippine football chiefSPORTSPalace wants Cayetano’s PHISGOC Foundation probed over corruption chargesBut benching a healthy player could potentially infringe on NBA rules designed to protect the investments of ticket holders and broadcast partners alike against the prospects of star players being arbitrarily rested.Those rules, for example, prohibit clubs from “resting healthy players for any high-profile, nationally televised game.” Doing so, the rules state, “will constitute conduct prejudicial or detrimental to the NBA and result in a fine of at least $100,000.” MOST READ Grace Poe files bill to protect govt teachers from malicious accusations — Pelicans coach Alvin Gentry has said the club had decided not to play Davis before Thursday’s trading deadline. However, he had offered no indication of what the club would do if Davis remained in New Orleans for the rest of the season.—Giving Davis playing time potentially creates an awkward situation in the locker room because he is essentially a lame-duck star. Also, his playing time could come at the expense of players the Pelicans want to develop for the future.Sports Related Videospowered by AdSparcRead Next — It would be in the Pelicans’ interest to avoid any risk of a basketball-related injury to Davis, given the likelihood of re-engaging a number of teams in trade talks after the season.—The market for Davis becomes clearer after the NBA draft lottery, when all teams’ 2019 picks have more concrete trade value.— In addition, the market for Davis should improve when the Boston Celtics are able to strengthen trade offers they make this summer.Boston, which has a stockpile of draft picks and promising young players as trade bait, is not eligible to trade for Davis under NBA rules until July 1, unless the Celtics also trade away Kyrie Irving. Irving is a factor because of what’s known as the Rose Rule, which says NBA teams cannot trade for more than one player who has signed an extension. Irving currently is playing under an extension signed with Cleveland that has an option year after this season, meaning it could be renegotiated in a way that also allows Boston to bid for Davis.—The NBA Players Association could have gotten involved on Davis’ behalf if he had been benched against his wishes.The union did not return messages left by The Associated Press on Thursday. Paul, who represents Davis, also declined comment.PLAYING DAVIS— Playing Davis helps the Pelicans put the best product on the court for fans in the stands and give them the best chance to win. New Orleans entered Thursday night’s action six games out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference with 27 games left.— The decision reduced the odds of a fight between the Pelicans and the union or discipline from the NBA.— Davis appears healthy. Before New Orleans defeated the Bulls in Chicago on Wednesday night, he was not on the club’s injury report, meaning he was technically available to play after recovering from a Jan. 18 sprain of his left index finger that had sidelined him the previous eight games. He was not listed on the Pelicans’ injury report released on Thursday afternoon in advance of the game against the Timberwolves. Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. ‘We are too hospitable,’ says Sotto amid SEA Games woes Oil plant explodes in Pampanga town US judge bars Trump’s health insurance rule for immigrants LATEST STORIES Triple-double magic from Russell Westbrook leads Thunder past Grizzlies SEA Games hosting troubles anger Duterte Private companies step in to help SEA Games hosting The Pelicans play next on Friday night at home against Minnesota, and the game is slated for national television.There is a gray area in that the rules provide for exceptions in “unusual circumstances,” but the Pelicans elected not to force the NBA into a position of having to rule on whether Davis’ public trade request through his agent, Rich Paul, constituted an unusual circumstance in this case.Public trade requests are also banned by NBA rules, and Davis was fined $50,000.Here are some other considerations the Pelicans had to weigh:SITTING DAVISADVERTISEMENT ‘We are too hospitable,’ says Sotto amid SEA Games woes Trending Articles PLAY LIST 00:50Trending Articles01:48NBA: Kawhi, George seek more for Clippers than beating Lakers01:08Huge Toronto crowd celebrates Raptors’ historic win02:42PH underwater hockey team aims to make waves in SEA Games01:44Philippines marks anniversary of massacre with calls for justice01:19Fire erupts in Barangay Tatalon in Quezon City01:07Trump talks impeachment while meeting NCAA athletes02:49World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games02:11Trump awards medals to Jon Voight, Alison Krauss New Orleans Pelicans forward Anthony Davis, left, sits on the bench with center Julius Randle, guard E’Twaun Moore, second right, and guard Elfrid Payton, right, in the first half of an NBA basketball game against the Indiana Pacers in New Orleans, Monday, Feb. 4, 2019. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)NEW ORLEANS — After Anthony Davis found out he wouldn’t be traded Thursday, the six-time All-Star learned the New Orleans Pelicans will let him suit up for the remainder of the season.While Davis had stated publicly that he’s ready to move on from New Orleans, he also had said he was prepared to play for the Pelicans as long as he remained under contract with them.ADVERTISEMENT View comments
Some of Canada’s most celebrated Olympic and Paralympic athletes are in Calgary, Friday.Gold medallists Tessa Virtue, Scott Moir, Justin Kripps, and Brian McKeever will share their experiences at “Champion Chats 2018: Stories from the Podium.” Spokesperson Steve Mesler, a U.S. Olympic gold medallist, told City News the event is sold out.“It’s probably one of, if not the best Olympic celebrations or Paralympic celebrations in the country happening and we’re having it right here in Calgary, and we’re doing it to raise money so more Olympians and more Paralympians can reach kids across western Canada, and mentor them on goal setting and perseverance and community involvement, and Calgary’s business community has stepped up,” he said.Hometown Hockey co-host Tara Sloan will host the fundraiser at Hotel Arts. It begins Friday at 11:00 a.m.
WILMINGTON, MA — Register of Deeds Richard P. Howe Jr. will present a free Homestead Seminar on Thursday, October 11, 2018 at 1:00pm at the Wilmington Senior Center (15 School Street).Recording a Declaration of Homestead at the Registry of Deeds protects your home from creditors. Register Howe will explain how this valuable law works and will have blank Homestead forms for anyone who wishes to file one (the recording fee is $35, cash or check). He will also discuss and answer questions about common real estate issues such as trusts, joint ownership of property, and mortgages.(NOTE: The above announcement is from Middlesex North Register of Deeds Richard Howe.)Like Wilmington Apple on Facebook. Follow Wilmington Apple on Twitter. Follow Wilmington Apple on Instagram. Subscribe to Wilmington Apple’s daily email newsletter HERE. Got a comment, question, photo, press release, or news tip? Email email@example.com.Share this:TwitterFacebookLike this:Like Loading… RelatedRichard Howe Seeks Re-Election To Keep Improving Middlesex North Registry Of DeedsIn “Government”LETTER TO THE EDITOR: Vote Karen Cassella For Middlesex North Register Of DeedsIn “Letter To The Editor”40 Properties Sold In Wilmington In AugustIn “Business”
A Thai navy boat carrying recovered bodies of passengers from a capsized tourist boat arrives at a pier in the tourist island of Phuket, Thailand on 6 July 2018.Despite fading hopes, rescuers in Thailand resumed a search on Saturday for 23 survivors after a boat carrying Chinese tourists sank off the island of Phuket in rough weather, while authorities began to investigate the boat’s operator.The death toll from one of the worst transport accidents in Thailand’s recent history reached 33, authorities have said, with 49 of the 105 passengers on the sunken Phoenix rescued, although 37 are still in hospital, some with severe injuries.”We will take any chance in the search for life,” Tourism Minister Weerasak Kowsurat said at the search site on Friday, following comments by a Marine Department official that there was probably “no chance” of finding more survivors.”Safety and service have to be placed above revenue,” Weerasuk added.Some Thais and tour operators have questioned why the boat was at sea during bad weather.Thai junta number two Prawit Wongsuwan has ordered an investigation into why it appeared to have ignored a weather warning, while police said they would seek to charge the captain and owner with negligence.The Phoenix, which was carrying 93 Chinese along with 12 Thai crew and tour guides, sank after being hit by five-metre (16-ft) -high waves in a storm on Thursday evening off Phuket, whose beaches and nightlife draw tourists.Thailand is in the middle of its rainy season, which usually runs from May to mid-October and often generates high winds and flash storms in coastal areas.Tourism is a key driver of growth in Southeast Asia’s second-largest economy, making up 12 percent of gross domestic product, and the most foreign visitors come from China.Many of the dead from the disaster were found drifting face down, wearing life jackets, near where it sank.The dead and injured were taken to a hospital on Phuket’s east coast, where relatives began to gather, with more expected over the weekend. Officials have asked for Chinese interpreters to assist.Thai officials on Saturday ordered boats not involved in the search to stay at anchor while it lasts.Accidents on the scale of this week’s disaster were “not good” for Thailand, said tourist police official Surachate Hakparn, adding, “We have to be more stringent.”Thailand is already in the global spotlight with a multinational rescue operation to save 12 schoolboys and their soccer coach trapped for days in a mountain cave in its north.